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Old 12-21-2005, 06:09 AM
FatalError FatalError is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Boston, MA
Posts: 139
Default Re: 25-50 NL AA hand

did anyone actually do the math on this hand?

if we call the 3700 on the flop (nobody is really advocating folding here) then the pot is 7400+ 1575, we'll call it 9k, we had 11k, put 750 in preflop and 3700 on the flop, using about 4500 leaving us with 6500, the pot is already 9k!!!!

next lets figure out what kind of pot odds we'll be offering with our future decions:

on the flop pushing will put 15.5k out there for our opponent for only 6.5, better than 2-1 so we're getting called by every draw, every better hand and lets say for kicks we get KK to call here (QQ will fold most of the time) this is a mediocre solotion

just calling and pushing the turn offers the same odds but makes draws -EV for calling you now which is good this is a big pot to pick up and also adds nearly a buyin to your already large stack. All better hands call, all better hands and KK call, draws fold unless they are "super" draws which is unlikely given the villians ability to assess his outs (making assumptions)

we're not calling and checking, i think this is just awful when we could end up with a turn card that makes this hand harder to play when we've only got 2/3 of the pot left in our stack

so pick your poison, i'm calling and pushing, we already defined our hand so it's time to live with our decision
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