View Single Post
  #24  
Old 04-13-2005, 12:43 PM
Aaron W. Aaron W. is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: San Diego, CA
Posts: 87
Default Re: Marginal hand #2 Play or no play

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Ok, so most everyone here so far would fold this. If nobody had raised would you have called? Nah, don't answer that. I'm pretty sure you would have.

So, you call the flop with 3 others and the BB. What usually happens if you flop a draw? Everybody check to you because they're passive after the flop so you bet. 2 people call. You hit your draw on the turn and bet again. 1 person calls. You bet the river and he calls.

Let's see how much money that is. 5.5sb+3sb+2bb+2bb is roughly 8bb. So you profited 5bb. We'll see what happens in a raised pot.

[/ QUOTE ]

Absurd. You neglected the 65% that you don't actually hit your draw and the other 50% (estimated) of the time you flop nothing.

(By the way, I don't see where 5.5 SB comes from in your calculation. You don't get to count your 1 SB investment to see the flop as part of your profit.)

[/ QUOTE ]

I looked up some numbers and it seems that you will flop something worth playing about 33% of the time.
Reply With Quote