Re: Push or Fold - 9\'s
Doesn't the 12% chance of flopping a set change the EV result to option #3? If you flop a set and check, you could still double-up...
If you miss your set, so long as flop doesn't come with A&K, A&Q or K&Q; you push all-in... If it comes Axx, Kxx or Qxx --- move all-in and hope he didn't pair. If it comes 2 out of 3; A Q x, A K x, K Q x... fold...
You are allowing your opponent to make the correct EV play but, assuming he has 2 overs, he was making the correct EV play anyway given the pot odds pre-flop... so this isn't giving that much up... also, with this strategy, if you call with 55 and it comes A T 2, you will move in (since only 1 big card) and he may not call with a bigger pocket pair...
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