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Old 11-24-2005, 11:25 AM
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Default Re: Yet another KK hand

In this case, I went back and looked at my notes and started reviewing some hand histories. I have literally written "Has pushed scare cards (1 flush, 1 straight, 3 pairs and 1 overcard) 6 times in 50 hands." Also, what sort of hand range do you put him on? I haven't seen him show down too many hands because he keeps aggroing people out of the pots, so in many ways, my hand reading is strongly based on his stats, as weak as that is. I realize 77 hands is a small sample and 55 VP$P means he is playing almost any paint, so is even trying to make a hand range meaningful?

If making a handrange isn't really plausible, what is the case for folding? He has repeatedly pushed scary boards and he is really loose both seem to tell me to call. Alternatively, his pattern changed, he is both betting into me and calling my reraises, telling me he is not stone cold bluffing and I am left wondering if he has the J or the Q.

His betting pattern starts w/a half pot sized bet and then calls a pot sized reraise. This tells me he has something and is trying to find out what I have, but at the moment, to raise seems like he is trying to keep me honest so could be either J or Q, while the call indicates TP, Q. The turn lead again confirms he has something, but since the bet is the same size as the flop bet, now I wonder if the Q is correct, although I can see a weak Q (QT) doing this and the turn call again supports the Q supposition. Finally, the river push seems to be strength, i.e. a Q. Should this be my thought progression or should it be, instead of having the turn call confirm a weak Q over J, listen to my earlier read and disbelieve he holds the Q?
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