Re: Hand vs. QTip. How terrible is the turn?
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QTip is far less likely to have TT or QQ because he's a good player and doesn't make transparent plays like capping preflop and then checking when he hits a set. His flop check/call to me puts him on AK about 90% of the time, with some weird slowplay the other 10%, and I even think that's stretching it. That leads me to believe that QTip should be betting this flop too.
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It also means you think Hero should be checking the turn and folding the river for one bet unimproved. I agree about the turn and I think the (hypothetical) river is close.
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