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Old 12-16-2005, 06:40 PM
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Default Re: Tough river decision

The pot is pretty small seeing as though the turn got checked through. When we get to the river the pot size is only 3BB (- the original SB probably paid in rake), so any plan that calls for putting 2BB into to win it can't really be right. So your two options for river plans have to be to check through or bet/fold. I can see your reasons for betting, as he might pay off with a pair of 9s, a worse T, or something else if he really sucks.

However, because of the reasons you decided to bet, once he check raises this has to be an easy fold. The villain is not that agressive, and people in general very rarely bluff check raise the river, especially when you check through the turn, since they have no reason to think you are going to bet the river. Moreover, any single 8,J,Q or K beats you, so its a pretty easy laydown.

I get the sense you didn't really have a plan for the river c/r before you bet. Especially on scary boards against semi-tricky opponents, how you are going to handle a c/r should be a very important decision in whether or not you decide to bet. Basically, you can't bet this river and call a c/r, as the two should pretty much be mutually exclusive.
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