Thread: Turn push, MPWK
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Old 10-24-2005, 12:36 PM
pzhon pzhon is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 66
Default Re: Turn push, MPWK (RESULTS)

[ QUOTE ]

Preflop:
One early position limper (10+ BB).
Hero (SB) completes with T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (7 BB after posting).
BB checks (6 BB after posting).

Flop (3 players, 3 BB): A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
Hero checks, BB minbets, limper folds, hero calls.

Turn (2 players, 5 BB): 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
Hero checks, BB pushes for about 5 BB. Hero?


[/ QUOTE ]
I called. I felt there was a decent chance the Villain had only a 6, or something like 77, 88, 98, or 97. If not, I had 9 outs to improve to 2 pair, trips, or a straight, and a few extra outs if the villain might get counterfeited. My guess was that I would win about 40% of the time if I called, much greater than the 33% I needed, even though I felt I would be ahead only about 25% of the time.

Villain had T2, the river was a 3, and my kicker played.
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