Thread: AA vs. KK
View Single Post
  #2  
Old 07-12-2005, 05:19 PM
MickeyHoldem MickeyHoldem is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 26
Default Re: AA vs. KK

Given that your have KK the odds of a single opponent having AA at an 8 player table would be

= 7*6/1225 - 2*(7c2)/(50c4) = 0.034103343

Given that you only got KK twice during the session the odds that both times a single opponent held AA bould be

= 0.034103343^2 = 0.001163 = ~1 in 860

Now you should get pocket kings once every 221 hands so the chance of getting them exactly twice in 300 hands is

= 300c2 * (1/221)^2 * (1 - 1/221)^298 = 0.237705498

Note: You can use excels binomdist function for this... =binomdist(2, 300, 1/221, FALSE)

so now the odds of all this happening would be

= .2377 * .001163 = 0.000276461 = ~1 in 3617
Reply With Quote