Thread: ODDS
View Single Post
  #3  
Old 08-02-2002, 09:01 PM
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default Re: ODDS



there are 47 unseen cards, 9 of which are your suit


the odds of you getting your flush on the turn are 38 to 9 = 4.2 to 1 = 100/(4.2 + 1) = 19.23%


or 80.77% that you don't get it


the odds of you getting your flush on the river are 37 to 9 = 4.1 to 1 = 100/(4.1 + 1) = 19.61%


or 80.39% that you don't get it


so 80.39% of the 80.77% you don't catch a flush at all = 64.93%


so 35.07% of the time you do catch a flush


so the odds on catching a flush if you receive two cards are 64.93/35.07 = 1.85 to 1


and with one to come they are 4.1 to 1


but just because you are getting 1.85 to 1 pot odds on the flop is not reason enough to call


do you see why?


Reply With Quote