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Old 11-24-2005, 12:22 PM
Bosox Bosox is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: gone fishing.
Posts: 66
Default Re: Flopping the underboat against a short stack.

1/2 pot the turn.

Since there's no way your read can be 100%, i'll ignore it. Your opponent could have called that flop bet with a number of hands, especially the QKs KJs QJs doubledraw hands and high pocket pairs. Since the drawing hands will only hit a fraction of the time and only then will give you river action, you need to make a 1/2 potsized bet on the turn to extract money from these hands for all the times they don't hit. It's +EV in the longrun. Don't even worry about him having his trip aces, they're coming along for the ride anyways so it doesn't matter when you get the money in against them so much.

The most important place to squeak out some +EV is the hands that AREN'T trip aces but still will feel the need to call a smallish turn bet while drawing dead. Also, a scare card on the river like a flushcard can kill your action, and is more likely than a card which legitimately scares YOU.

i'm so very tired.
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