River stats question
I was just looking at my detailed stats in PokerTracker and got interested in the stats for river actions.
In the "bet/raised/check-raised" column we see
Ww/oSD 25.57%
Fold 1.75%
WSD 72.68%
W$SD 76.95%
River bluffs seldom work and I don't think I make too many. Suppose conservatively that of the 25% I win without showdown, I'm actually ahead 15%. i.e. 10% of my river bets are successful bluffs; I think it's more like 3% but anyway.
The times I get called, we see a showdown (73%) and I win 77% of the time, meaning I am ahead 56% of the time. Add to this the 15% I am not called and we find I am ahead 71% of the time when I bet the river. I think it's more, to be honest.
Does this mean I should value-bet the river more?
Against one opponent I should be value betting when I'm 50% likely to have the best hand; against more than one I should bet even more often. Is that right?
What do other people's stats look like here?
Guy.
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