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Old 12-20-2005, 11:36 AM
tigerite tigerite is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 360
Default Re: $11 K9o Button Lvl 6- autopush?

Let's say SB calls with 12.5%

SB 77+,A9s+,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,ATo+,KJo+

Hold = 11.8% (because we hold K9o, it affects it slightly)
Call = 11.8%

Our equity when called = 0.322788

BB Any two

Our equity when called = 0.578119

Hold = 100%
Call = 88.2% (because of SB affecting our range)


If we fold, EV = 0.1223
Push/win v SB EV = 0.2347
Push/lose v SB EV = 0.0063

Push/win v BB EV = 0.2222
Push/lose v BB EV = 0

[ 0.118 * ((0.2347 * 0.322788) + (0.0063 * 0.677212)) ] + [ 0.882 * ((0.578119 * 0.2222) + (0.421881 * 0)) ]
= [ 0.118 * (0.0757583436 + 0.0042664356) ] + [ 0.882 * 0.1284580418 ]
= [ 0.118 * 0.0800247792 ] + 0.1132999928676
= 0.0094429239456 + 0.1132999928676
= 0.1227429168132

Which is greater than 0.1223? Am I missing something?
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