Re: Laying down the nuts...?
while it's easy to shrug off what you are alluding to, I can sort of see your point......a very good player is making a ridiculous overbet on the flop and playing the hand in such a way that he knows you CAN'T make a mistake - so why would he do that?......you haven't said how well he knows your tendencies, but even he has three aces, he might know that you aren't going to call that bet without anything but KQ.......which means he wouldn't make that bet without KQ.....but then the question is, if he does have KQ:
a) does that definitely mean they're both clubs
b) does he really KNOW you also have KQ - because if he's got the nuts, wouldn't he want to try to make some money off a set/two pair/etc.?
he could certainly be weary that scare cards might come out anyway, so he wants to put the question to you now.....and there's certainly a chance he could also have KQ and you chop.......but to think that he's got exactly KcQc and consider it probable enough to lay down the nuts has got to be -EV here.......perhaps someone can do the math....
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