View Single Post
  #5  
Old 08-10-2005, 02:28 PM
pokerlaw pokerlaw is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Manhattan
Posts: 431
Default Re: ITM hand, limped in w J10, flopped st8...

[ QUOTE ]
I think he has the flush virtually every time here, and if not the flush then a boat. The best you can hope for is that he's playing trip 8's like this. No reads? I'd fold and hate it. Calling pretty much commits you to calling a river bet, so I'd conserve the 2100 you have left.

Although he does have a huge stack, and could be trying to push you off of the hand when a scare card hits. I think this is more likely at the higher buy-ins, so I think a read is pretty important here. Unless he's this type of player, I think you're drawing dead almost always here. And he doesn't seem like the tricky type of player based on his bet sizes (more like a calling station).

Edit: I really don't think he has the boat actually.... His bet size tells me he has the flush or an 8. The flush seems way more likely though as I doubt he'd min-bet into 4 people and call a big raise with bottom pair. I think you could argue a call or a push if he's a total donk, but I still think the flush is more likely.

[/ QUOTE ]

nice analysis - i pretty much felt he had a flush. of course, i pushed nonetheless, hahaha. he had 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
Reply With Quote