Thread: Good Draw?
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Old 11-03-2005, 03:00 AM
RickyG RickyG is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Chicago, IL
Posts: 151
Default Re: Good Draw?

The two most reasonable hands that I can see him doing this with are KKxx and AAxx suited in diamonds.

If the KK is not accompanied with diamond draw higher than yours, you are a very slight favorite to win, Most likely scenario IMO
if he does have higher diamonds (which will be rare, but will occasionally happen) you are around 30-70, slightly -ev
if he has AAxx suited in diamonds, you have >33% chance to win the hamd
If he is a fool with a bare AA, you are a 2-1 favorite.

Overall, calling his all in is the clear +EV decision over folding. unless you could 100% put him on KK with higher diamonds, which you cannot. You made the right call.
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