a common turn decision
Situation that comes up quite often:
you raise preflop with AA-JJ, get one or two callers and one of the blinds comes along - 3-4 to the flop.
Flop comes with a pair and no high card. Something like 885. Checked to you, you bet, get one caller from a blind position. Turn is a blank, checked to you.....
Read the villain as typical 5-10: not a tag, not a super lag or a super LP, just moderately LP 35/10 or so.
I always bet this. It's pretty much a wa/wb situation. My problem is that when I get cr'ed, I go into call down mode. Now I realize that I'll be putting in 2 more bets to win 7-8 bets, but against a non-tricky villain, are you good here more than 25% of the time?
Really, my question boils down to "can I fold an overpair to a check raise HU on the turn on a paired but otherwise unscary board?"
thanks.
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