Re: General Philosophy
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Your confidence is a percentage, and should be ".95" not "95". You used 9500%.
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Hmm, okay. Then there is a problem in Homer's thread. Bisonbison rewrote the formulas using an integer rather than a number between 0 and 1. To compensate for this he subtracted it from 100, which would of course yeild different results.
Here's exactly what bison wrote :
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For those working in BB/100 and Pokertracker:
A1: Hands
B1: Hand Count from PT
A2: EV/100
B2: BB/100 from PT
A3: SD/100
B3: SD/100 from PT session tab, 'more detail' button.
A4: Confidence Interval
B4: an integer between 0-99 (note: Homer originally used 0-.99)
A5: Upper Bound
B5: =B2-NORMSINV((100-B4)/200)*B3*(1/SQRT(B1/100))
A6: Lower Bound
B6: =B2+NORMSINV((100-B4)/200)*B3*(1/SQRT(B1/100))
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EDIT: STOP THE TRAIN
OK, I think the problem is that we are using 20000. That is the number of hands, but since we are doing BB/100 we should do groups of 100 hans in B1. This would mean that we put 200 instead of 20000, yeilding a lower bound of 0 and upper of 4 (with CI of .95).
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