[noir]

Calling is iffy. Why? Because there are so many ifs, as your post shows.

There is a proven underlying logic to the ranking of the options in the game of poker, and I think this is a situation where it is fleshed out.

Lastly, part of your reasoning hinges on it being "a loose 1/2 game." I highly recommend that you not do this for a variety of reasons. Ultimately the game will not win for you. Your own great play will.