Thread: River plan?
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Old 07-13-2005, 09:27 PM
zephed zephed is offline
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Join Date: May 2005
Location: Gorie fan club member #2 and official whittler.
Posts: 611
Default River plan?

Opponent is a TAG. He's about a 24% vpip, 15% pfr player. He 3-bet me once with KQs (I was raising a lot, and I doubt that's his normal play). Haven't seen him get out of line postflop.

Party Poker 3/6 Hold'em (6 max, 4 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is UTG with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].

<font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, BB calls.

Flop: (4.33 SB) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, BB calls.

Turn: (3.16 BB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, BB calls.

River: (5.16 BB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
BB checks, Hero ?.

Bet/calls? Checks? Bet/folds?

Final Pot: 5.16 BB

If he's got an ace, I'm ahead of A6, A4, A3, A2. All of these are likely, although a TAG may fold a tiny unsuited ace preflop.

Of course, if he's got a club draw he's not calling without a good piece of the board.

Behind to: AK-AJ (unlikely), AT, A8, A7 (unlikely), A5 (maybe).

I'm ahead of any jack, but I'm not sure he would call me down with that unless he had a good club draw.
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