Re: TT - bubblicious
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He probably would have gone to 3600 or something like that with AA or KK trying to get you to call. The all in suggests he really doesn't want a call but wouldn't feel too bad about it if he got one. I think you're on a coin-flip here 90% of the time, and facing an overpair the other 10%, and the pot is paying you pretty well.
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I agree with this 100%.
As far as this call being -EV, the EV of this call/fold is a very difficult thing to determine. It isn't as simple as saying that in the long run folding results in me in having more chips on average. You have to consider the specific situational factors of the tournament (blind sizes, antes, avg stacks, players left, payout structure, etc) in order to say that this call is or isn't +EV.
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