View Single Post
  #2  
Old 09-14-2005, 07:31 PM
Superfluous Man Superfluous Man is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Ann Arbor, MI
Posts: 84
Default Re: Make this call or fold?

Hero calls, I hope. Maybe he has a straight with KQ and doesn't want you to hit your 4th heart. Maybe he has a made flush, but would he really raise utg with any hand that makes a flush, other than KhQh (in which case you're boned...but surely he's not going to jam the flop with a mortal lock on the hand)? Maybe he has a set and really wants to protect it (kind of likely, as JJ-99 may be in his minraising range).

But, since this is the $11r, he could also very likely have something like QhQx, KhKx, or maybe QhJx, KhJx, AJ, AxQh, AxKh.

You always have at least 5 outs twice (unless he has the straight flush), often you'll have more like 10 outs twice. Couple that with the times you'll be ahead and the metagame considerations of doubling up (you can be a big stack bully/your odds of going very deep increase substantially), and I think the 5:4 the pot is laying is good enough.
Reply With Quote