thoughts/question kind of:

For MP3 having TAG stats his play is messed up preflop with the call/cap play, OP what kind of hand range are you putting MP3 on, for that matter CO too? But lets say that MP3 is holding 77 and felt like capping it preflop, I think this happens enough to be discussion worthy(usually with worst cards). What do we now think of MP3's play? By checking the flop he is screaming out a monster? He is expected to bet the flop no matter what, and if he bets is anyone necessarily giving him credit for a K or better? While at the same time a lot of people will not bet this flop when MP3 checks, even when they have something. Thus MP3 has a possible isolation raiser to his left, a button who only god knows what he is cold calling with right there, probably a suited connector or close JT, J9.. and the SB who 3-bet preflop. Now SB (hero) could have a could reasonably have AA-TT and AKs. So on this flop there are 6+3+3=12 ways that SB hit the flop and 6+6+6=18 ways he didn't. Now I think it is pretty reasonable to assume that SB will bet out on this turn to see where he is a lot of the time with all of these holdings. So my question is what kind of FE does MP3 have on the turn if his read on SB is that he is capable of laying down hands? Would this almost be a good play?

I've been thinking a lot lately about ways in which I can get people to fold better hands than mine. I don't think this is necessarily the best spot to try it, but I think it is intersting because what was everyone's first impression to MP3's flop play? Can this thought progress of the average tag be used against them? Just a little food for thought