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Old 12-23-2005, 10:50 PM
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Default Re: Calculating odds of flopping a pair

I'm new to poker odds, and still learning. Let me take a stab at this without using combinations.

To flop any pair, the odds of the first flop card completeing our pair would be:
6/50 or .12 or 12 percent
Then if we still don't have the pair:
6/49 or .122 or 12.2 percent
Then if we need the 3rd flop card to get our pair:
6/48 or .125 or 12.5 percent

Now, if we add probabilities, if we only need 1 of x number of results to get what we need, we would have:
12% + 12.2% + 12.5% or, 36.5%

I obviously must be doing something wrong. Can someone correcte the error of my ways? [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Eric
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