Re: TOC hand question
AK ~36%
QQ ~47%
JJ ~17%
But if somebody else had AK -- very possible (AK v AK v QQ);
18% v 18% v 65%
If its AK v AQ v QQ
AK 40%
AQ 4%
QQ 56%
If its AK vs AQ v KK
AK 19%
AQ 9%
KK 72%
If its AK v JJ v KK:
AK 25%
JJ 20%
KK 55%
If its AK vs JJ vs AA
AK 6%
JJ 19%
AA 75%
So; he is most likely 20-40% to triple up and only v AA is it terrible... Its a closer call than I first thought but I think its the right play...
I thought Howard played very well and made good aggressive bets. Same with PokerSuperstars... He makes some mistakes but he clearly thinks about the range of hands his opponent may have, runs the probabilities in his head and goes with it... I pick Lederer and Chan as my top two based on the TV plays (which I know isn't much)...
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