Thread: winning streak
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Old 12-21-2004, 06:57 AM
gaming_mouse gaming_mouse is offline
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Default Re: winning streak

[ QUOTE ]
Odds of someone winning 9 pots in a row at a 50 cent table. 8 of which were contested. 4-6 seeing the flop. (it happened today)

[/ QUOTE ]

Assuming an avg of 5 people per contested pot, winning 8 in a row (assuming each of the 5 people is equally likely to win -- not true of course, but a decent assumption for a rough approximation):

.2^8 = 2.56 10-06, about 1 in 390,000.

And I think no matter how you tweak the numbers to account for bad players, chasers, steamers, etc, it's still very unlikely. A true longshot.

gm
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