bluef0x said it perfectly, lead that flop and take it down. don't let another heart or AKQJ fall. make him fold first.

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I suppose in this case, top pair is unlikely. How often do you see over cards here vs an overpair higher than 10s?

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to your question specifically, TPTK IS likely, far more likely than JJ/QQ/KK/AA, which is why you should be making him pay you off. despite his pf raise, i still play this hard -- you'll see lots of flat calling from KK/AA hoping to pwn you. you will also see unpaired overs a fair amount, and you need to charge them to see more cards. do not let them pick up a over on the turn to beat you for free.