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Old 10-03-2005, 04:16 PM
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Default Re: Yes, I limped UTG with 10 BBs

The problem with limping is that, even if no one else chooses to mess with you, you are giving the blinds an excellent chance to out-flop you. Garbage like Q9 that would have to lay down to any kind of raise gets a 30% chance to out-flop you. It's quite likely that neither blind has a hand that could call a raise, but that between them they have 2-3 overcards to your pair.

You almost have to bet any flop checked to you, hoping to use your position to scare out a T on a flop like AT5. And once you bet, you'll have probably 30%+ of your stack in the middle, so you will not be happy about seeing a check-raise.

I think I'd just push here. You definitely have fold equity against a lot of hands that are 46% against you, and some players might even fold 99 or TT. You're a (very) slight favorite against two overs, but with the substantial overlay from the pot, getting called by AK is still a profitable situation.
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