Re: Anything that can happen will happen?
We're not disagreeing on the likelihood. I interpreted the question literally, as "can and will happen". On a long enough time frame, it will happen. Is it likely? Absolutely not. Will it happen in my lifetime? Probably not. Siegmund, as usual, provided a real life example and interesting/intelligent explanations. It is unfortuante that he doesn't post more often. Probability is often theoretical, and I don't think that discussing the concept of infinity, which factors into every statistics/probability course, is unreasonable. I know where you're coming from with the risk tolerance assessment, but I didn't necessarily infer that from the OP.
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