Re: Numbers dont lie people
Brad - numbers don't lie, but those numbers rest upon assumptions, and what I'm pushing back on is your assumptions.
C/R'ing this flop does not foreclose collecting more than one bet on the turn or river if a 5 falls. If you assume a flop C/R limits your future action this way, then it's clearly a bad play.
I'm arguing that it does not limit you to collecting only one bet on the turn and river. You can C/R this flop, have a 5 fall on the turn and C/R the turn too! And plenty of players will call the turn raise!
Didn't you just point out in another thread that in certain situations at these limits you need to turn off your brain (i.e., a BB stone cold bluff-betting into 5 players on the flop)? IMHO, you're giving too much credit to the thought process, analytical abilities, and impulse control (ability to act properly on good analytical abilities) to too many players in a typical Party 1/2 game.
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