View Single Post
  #17  
Old 11-24-2005, 05:54 PM
stevepa stevepa is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 57
Default Re: When do we Flush Math down the Toilet?

[ QUOTE ]
I have a pretty firm understanding of math. Perhaps I did not present my opening post articulately. But this is what I'm having trouble with.

In my AA example, after he pushes, my range of hands that
I can put him on goes down. Even if I readjust this new range there are a lot more hands that don't include a Queen than one's that do. So if readjust ranges, still based on pot odds, I would be mathematically correct to call. When, in the absense of any tells, do I disregard the math and just go with my gut intuition which tells me that the only hand that he would do this with has a Queen?

Bruce

[/ QUOTE ]

You're making the same mistake again. Your gut says he'll only do this with a queen. So then his range of hands that you should give him is heavily weighted towards hands with a queen. Just because you might push with a flush draw there doesn't mean he will. The range of hands you give him is based on your intuition. You then use math to determine how you're doing vs. that range and decide what you should do.

Steve
Reply With Quote