Thread: River decision
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Old 12-25-2005, 12:56 AM
milesdyson milesdyson is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 197
Default Re: River decision

you can see 7 cards. you can't see 45 cards. within those 45 cards there are 2 remaining kings. there are 5 players with you on the river - 10 of the 45 unseen cards are in their hands.

the probability that you deal 10 of those 45 cards without one of those 2 kings showing up is

(43!/33!)/(45!/35!) = 60%

i don't know what this means other than if they had random hands, 40% of the time someone would have a king.
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