Re: The turn paradox.
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FWIW, my default play against a LAG in these situations is to induce the bluff.
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If they're LAGy enough though, then don't you gain more by betting, then calling down if CR'ed, since they'll CR soooo often?
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OTOH, if the guy is a total fish then I'll keep betting until I hit some resistence.
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This is surely true, since the fish will always call you down with ANY piece of the board, or any weak draw.
The main goal in this type of spot(as in pretty much any poker situation) though is to induce the opponent to make the biggest mistakes, while avoiding making them yourself. So its really player dependant here, as to what types of mistakes the opponent is prone to making. If he bluff CR's too much, then its an easy bet/calldown. IF he falls for the bluff induced turn check too much then its best to check behind. tough to say what would cause this particular player to make the biggest error.
Obviously, players who don't make obvious mistakes here are the toughest to play against. so i don't know what would be optimal play vs. a perfect player is??
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