Re: Am I missing something here?
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He's the small blind; the pot is unraised pre-flop; four see the flop and turn; three see the river; the bettor is two to my guy's right. Is this the info you need?
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So hero is probably getting 5:1 on his call with two to act after him. If the other two fold, he ends up heads up, out of position, with a bunch of non-nut draws . . . thats not a spot I like to be in. Even if hero hits, he will probably only get 1/2 the pot in that scenario. If one of the two behind check-raises (probably not that likely) hero ends up paying even more for his non-nut draws.
Granted, non-nut draws are more likely to win with only four in the pot, but 5 small bets is not that much to fight over. Barring the miracle A hearts, hero is probably not going to scoop, and there is a good chance that he will get scooped even if he catches one of his "outs". In any event, I would not put much faith in a 3d nut low. I would fold this if I was hero.
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