Re: Why can\'t I fold...i know exactly what he has...!
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50 hands isn't everything, but it's something. PFR% converges fairly quickly. Sure, there is a chance that he's gotten nothing in 50 hands, but it's more probable that he doesn't raise all that much. That 2% statistic is currently our best estimate for his true PFR%, and completely disregarding it is foolish.
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I agree. What I mentioned about not creaming over the stats still holds, though. If 3 different players caught me for 50 hand stretches while datamining, one might see me as 23/16, one might get 35/22, and one 15/7.
If I only have 50 hands on a guy I'm going to rely much, much more on how I've percieved his play THIS session. If he's been here for 4 or 5 orbits and hasn't raised yet, then yeah, I'll probably dump AJo PF to his UTG raise. If I get the impression he's raising with more hands than his 2 PFR indicates, then I'm going to tangle with him more freely.
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