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Old 12-31-2005, 11:52 AM
bozlax bozlax is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 365
Default Re: 99 flops set, river gets ugly

[ QUOTE ]
*grunch*

Preflop / Flop - good

Turn - yuck; hate the donk bet here but I think you have to cal down. Even if you are behind you have 11 outs (unless vilain holds JJ which he sure has not acted like) to quads or a full house.

River - If villain was on a draw this card completes alot of stright draws and the flush draw. I'd say your chance of still being ahead is 25% or less; with 7.75BB in the pot you have odds to call even if your chance of winning is as low as 12%. . . call.

[/ QUOTE ]

That's 10 outs to the boat or quads on the turn, and the second club doesn't complete any flush draws, but other than that your post is pretty good.
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