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Old 12-30-2005, 12:58 AM
Schwartzy61 Schwartzy61 is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 362
Default Re: Guy with a 4 to 1 chip lead settles for a split.

[ QUOTE ]
I'm not 100% sure on the math, but since each player is guaranteed 5.5k, then that leaves the 4.5k difference between 1st and 2nd. The chip leader had 80% of the chips, so he should get 80% of the 4.5k + 5.5k (assuming similar talent). So he should have gotten a little over 9k, but he's not getting screwed as badly as you think, especially if he doesnt think he's a very good HU player.

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Actually it's not even 80% of the chips because he has almost 5 mil while the guy has somewhere between 1 and 1.5 million. So it's probably more like 70/30 or 2.5 to 1.

Using those numbers he's walking away with basically what his EV should probably be in that situation right? 70% of the 4.5k + 5.5k guaranteed = 8.65k.

I'm not sure if it was AS wrong as OP makes it out to be.

Then again I'm not a tourney player and from what I've read on the subject there is no point in making any deals, especially when you are ahead...
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