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Old 02-02-2005, 12:39 AM
Shillx Shillx is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Frog and Peach Pub, Downtown SLO
Posts: 4,478
Default Re: My Aces are running baaaaad! Is it my fault?

You are probably incorrect.

Limit hold'em is an interesting game because you can always "call down" if you really want to know what someone has. It will cost us 2 BB to "call down" and it will cost us 2 BB to make it 3-bets on the turn (just to make it 3-bets).

If the situation is heads up, we need to have the best hand > 50% of the time (actually more because of the cap factor), or re-raising is a strictly dominated strategy. By paying those 2-bets, we could have seen a showdown. Going to a showdown dominates 3-betting if we are good < 50% of the time.

But there is a 3rd player in the pot so that changes things. Now we only have to have the best of it 33% (but we actually need to have it more because our 3-bet re-opens the betting) of the time to make 3-betting a dominant strategy. Do we have the best hand here 33% of the time??? If we don't, calling down strictly dominates 3-betting. We actually need to have more then 33% equity to 3-bet because we open ourselves up to a cap when we 3-bet. In this hand, we probably have 10-20% equity so making it 3-bets gets dominated by calling down.

Brad
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