Re: 25/50NL Hows My Line?
[ QUOTE ]
bluffing people off full houses is -ev
[/ QUOTE ]
Given the circumstances though, the fact that he has a full house here doesn't mean much, since it's not hard to have a full.
What could my hand range be, logically? I'd say based on my flop checkraise (in order) a 3, big overpair, air, 55 (or other FH), and occasionally a OESD/GSSD. If I am continuing on after the flop checkraise, given that I haven't shown down any crap or played back at his bets very often, what conceivable reason would he have to believe I have nothing here, on a relatively harmless board with him showing strength?
Let's put it another way; if I was in villian's shoes and asked would it be +EV to call that allin with 77-TT, given my description, I'd highly doubt most of you would say it is a good call. Relatively straightforward players RARELY bluff 3-barrels, especially into a draw-less board like this, so by being a calling station and HOPING that by some chance you have caught the other person on a stone cold bluff is bad play in the long run, no?
|