Re: Overpair turns OESD and faces aggression
I did, and maybe I'm being a weak-tightie, but I just wouldn't push.
The relevant questions are, Are you ahead now? What are the odds to hit your draw? And what are the chances villain folds to your push?
I think I'm right about the latter two: you don't have pot odds on the draw, and villain isn't folding.
You may have a very good point about the first question, i.e., your overpair may be good right now. But despite his numbers I'm just not comfortable putting my stack in on the belief that my pair of nines will win a showdown.
What hand range do you see for villain? Any two basically?
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