Re: 30/60 River Decision
I agree with Paluka, since you've come this far, I think you need to see a showdown.
I don't like betting and folding to raise. If he is a good player then your bet will probably not be called by a worse hand, and you will get raised often when he has you beat.
I would check/call it. You see a showdown for 1 more bet, and he may fire another bullet with a busted spade draw or some other bluffing hand.
Also, is preflop standard? If he is a tight aggressive good player, I'd think about letting KJo go here. It's probably close, but out of position... I mean KTo seems like a muck, KQ I start having an urge to play.
Look at this way, if he opens in the CO, are you 3-betting him with KJo from the button? I think it's a very close/high variance play, probably -EV unless you play very well postflop or your opponent is really bad. In that case you have position; in the SB your position sucks and for what, to defend half a small bet?
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