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Old 08-05-2005, 10:01 PM
lastchance lastchance is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 766
Default Re: A few hands from my wonderful day.

[ QUOTE ]
(In hand 1) So you guys are content with gambling all your chips away early on when you will have (in most cases -- barring the all-inner isnt a complete donk) AT MOST 12-15 outs. Plus, when you do get called, it will be more often then not a hand like 8 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 8 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] or 8 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], in which youll have 0 outs.

I can understand making the push here if you have a read on the opponent to make this type of play with A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], but we were not given that info.

I might be overestimating the fold equity, though.

[/ QUOTE ]
12-15 outs = 45% to 50%. That's huge when you've got extra FE. And if you can put Villain on 88 or 82, then all the goodness to you. Right now, you've likely got a ton of outs, and you should be using it to semi-bluff.
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