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Old 12-14-2005, 07:41 PM
Underlord Underlord is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 1
Default Re: I\'m turning jason into a LAG. The AQo test?

Should be ahead of his range as long as it includes hands like A9s, KTs, KJo, and ATo, which is likely given his 13/8 stats over 2k+ hands and being in the hijack with a bad fish limper.

Likely hand range:

equity (%)
Hand 1: 52.9966 % { AQo }
Hand 2: 47.0034 % { 77+, A9s+, KTs+, QJs, ATo+, KJo+ } {11.8% of hands)

Including bad limper (a 42/3 type):

equity (%)
Hand 1: 37.2694 % { AQo }
Hand 2: 36.5258 % { 77+, A9s+, KTs+, QJs, ATo+, KJo+ }
Hand 3: 26.2047 % { JJ-22, A2s+, K5s+, Q6s+, J7s+, T7s+, 97s+, 86s+, 75s+, 64s+, 54s, 43s, A2o+, K7o+, Q9o+, J9o+, T8o+, 97o+, 87o }


Tighter hand range:

equity (%)
Hand 1: 49.1142 % { AQo }
Hand 2: 50.8858 % { 77+, ATs+, KJs+, QJs, AJo+, KQo } {9.4% of hands}

Including the bad limper

equity (%)
Hand 1: 34.9757 % { AQo }
Hand 2: 39.0491 % { 77+, ATs+, KJs+, QJs, AJo+, KQo }
Hand 3: 25.9751 % { JJ-22, A2s+, K5s+, Q6s+, J7s+, T7s+, 97s+, 86s+, 75s+, 64s+, 54s, 43s, A2o+, K7o+, Q9o+, J9o+, T8o+, 97o+, 87o }


If they both call the 3bet and blinds fold, you'll have put 3 small bets into a 10.5 small bet pot (28.5% of the money) with at least 35-37% equity, initiative, position on both of them, and at least one of them playing poorly postflop.

AQo is a 3-bet here for me. AJo however is much more marginal case, probably requiring an opponent with a wider raising range, or specific postflop reads.
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