Thread: Spewing?
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Old 07-23-2005, 02:37 AM
Dave G. Dave G. is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 616
Default Re: Spewing?

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Fold to the flop raise.

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We can call the flop raise because of the BDSD.

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Raise is good. You're probably behind, but the pot is big. Narrowing the field = higher equity for you.

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You are giving a textbook answer to a generic situation, and in this case it's just wrong.

Lets look at it more closely. What does narrowing the field really do? It knocks out the two players you might be ahead of, while pitting you heads up against the one player you know has you crushed.

Narrowing the field down to you and MP2 does not improve your chances of beating MP2. Why do you want to go heads up against a hand that a) has you thoroughly screwed and b) is never ever going to fold?

Moreover, if you do improve by catching your miracle J, you are almost certainly going to be ahead of BB and Button. Why do you want these people to fold when your 2 outer, if it comes in, will put you ahead of them as well?

What you're essentially advocating here is that he should raise to knock out two people who we might be ahead of, and who we will certainly be ahead of if we catch our J, for the opportunity to contribute a higher percentage of the pot against one opponent we know has us bent right over.

I'm sorry but this is terrible advice. This raise is throwing money away and it isn't close.
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