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Old 08-16-2005, 07:23 AM
Jordan Olsommer Jordan Olsommer is offline
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Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 792
Default Re: NL Preflop Question #2

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Clearcut doesn't mean it's largely -EV, it just means it is -EV.

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In a case where we can do the math exactly, any EV below zero is a "clear cut fold". However, with a question like this and the amount of estimation involved, I doubt anyone who got a calling EV of -1 would say "clearly you should fold." (as it turns out, even the guy who wrote the program didn't enumerate - he did a monte carlo with 10,000 random [out of 19,600 possible] flops and 1,000 iterations of each flop [to determine winrate] with only one opponent holding per iteration - I don't know if that's enough to be super-super accurate. That was my mistake though; I had erroneously thought that he had enumerated).
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