Re: When to give up with the nut flush draw
If I'm counting it right, the crazy turn action gives you 9.75:1 the first time, and 14.75:2 the second time (~7.5:1) and then 18:1 on the final bet. Is that right? Overall it's 31.75:4 total for the turn, or almost 8:1.
Barring you drawing dead to a FH, you'll hit your nut flush more often than they'll hit their gutshot (with two pair to fill up). BB's initial c/r then cap would be the only thing scaring me. Did you have any reads on him?
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