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Old 12-08-2005, 09:55 PM
Eeegah Eeegah is offline
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Join Date: May 2005
Location: Raising 99 and flopping quads
Posts: 609
Default Re: Obvious call with the 2nd nuts?

Can I turn this around a bit? Okay, I'm detecting a leak of my own here. If I were BB I'd almost certainly raise with the Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] on the river and call a 3-bet. If it were UTG or something I'd be much more cautious, but SB could have any two suited--am I wrong in thinking he won't have an A or K half the time? (statistically speaking he'd have a lower flush about 55% of the time if he had two random diamonds and I had one)

Edit: Getting out of my chair somehow answered my question for me--we're losing 2 bets if I'm wrong and gaining one if I'm right. Whoops--I need to do more examination of game theory like that.)
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