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Old 10-31-2005, 07:27 PM
Nfinity Nfinity is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 118
Default Re: Advice on how this hand was played? (6max, big pot)

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As far as SB having the Flush, look at the PF and Flop action. What 2 card club combination is likely given all his donk calling of the raising going on? It is much more likely that villian is donking 2 pair, trips, or some piece of the straight here.

Given the action I would say him donking with a hand like 9T, TJ, or TT is MUCH more likely than any of the 2 card club combinations you could present.

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A9s? A3s? "Given the flop and turn action" means very little with 68 VP$IP. And that's a highass aggro factor for someone not betting/raising with the two pair you describe.
Those stats indicate a player who wouldn't be adverse to calling on nothing more than a backdoor flush anyway. I think the probability of him hitting a flush is pretty damn high here.

I slow down on the turn, and call the river.

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So because of villians insanely wierd stats we don' put it past him to call 3-bets cold pre-flop with some 9xs garbage, call another 2 bets cold with middle pair and a backdoor flush draw, but when it comes to doing something like donkbetting 2 pair or trips on this river it just can't be done?

The only flush cards I can reasonably place him on are A9s, A3s, K9s, K3s, and 93s in clubs, and you have to admit wook that the majority of those hands are a stretch. I've seen 80% VPIP's who wouldn't call this 3-bet with A3s.

Not to mention I think this player would donkbet this river all day long with anything better than 1 pair. I think the donkbetter here is weaker than he wants us to believe. He could have a flush here a small percentage of the time, but then the question is, how likely is he to 3-bet.

What do you think Wookie? He's too timid to Check raise the his miracle river nuts, but he will find the strength to 3-bet us?
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