View Single Post
  #4  
Old 02-15-2005, 04:21 PM
MonkeeMan MonkeeMan is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: Austin
Posts: 0
Default Re: Bubble fold or all-in?

I did in fact push. But I didn't really analyze the situation, I just hastily thought "good cards, need chips, push".

What I should have done is something like:
"Hmm, lets see, hands the BB could have that have me beat right now are any PP and AK, AQ, AJs. That's 3*2 (AA,JJ) + 6*11 (other PPs) + 12 (AK) + 16 (AQ) + 2 (AJs) = 102/1326 = 8% chance I'm getting the worst of it here. Of these only AA has me in real bad shape. Against the other 92% of hands I'm about a 3:2 favorite. If I do fold, CO has two more hands to double up, otherwise I'm in the money."

Even after this exercise I could argue either way on the decision. Any other factors to consider?
Reply With Quote