Re: Tough decision vs frappe
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I think Frappe's raising standards are sufficiently wide here that you are justified in calling down and betting when checked to.
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Well my minimum hand here is pocket queens. So what are the odds that i have QQ or AA in the hole compared to a king in the hole... I suck at math.
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Without doing any math I can assure you that there is enough chance that you have QQ/AA and don't improve combined with the chance that you have KKK and he sucks out to win.
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math, = on 4th 13 dead 39 live, 4 aces & 3 queens.
AA=6 QQ=3 at least 1 king =75 (38+38-1 think this is right)
9 times ahead 75 times behind. 8.33-1 or .12% chance ahead
2dimes querry equity of 666 vs. the 2 overpair with same dead ~ 78.5%
2dimes querry equity of 666 vs. KKK7 ~22%(KKK2 was a few .001 dif)
therefore equity equals
.785 * .12 + .22* .88 = .194
Assuming we actually knew those where frappe's opening standards, with 4.7 smb in pot and 2smb to call this is a clear fold.
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