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Old 07-30-2005, 12:44 AM
Shillx Shillx is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Frog and Peach Pub, Downtown SLO
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Default Re: Hmmm Flush Draw hand

[ QUOTE ]
Bullshit... AFter looking at this again, our fold equity is non existant, except in the case that we have a villain who is nearly drawing dead with a dry ace or similar draw, in which case we have more equity trying to induce a bet on the river.

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I don't agree at all here. A pretty good aggressive opponent isn't going calldown here with 98s or 99 or whatever IMO. The villian would have to be a fool to play Ax this way and it is unrealistic to think that he holds this hand.

Anyway, the crux of this hand IMO is the pot size. With a smaller pot (say 5 BB) we would obviously want to call and see what we find on the river. In a huge 15 BB pot it would be more tempting to try and raise since any hand that folds (that beats us) is making a big mistake. You have to try and give your opponents a chance to make a mistake. I feel like this is a good time to do so in a pot that is 10 BB + our most likely hand is AK or KQ and the villian is drawing near dead if he doesn't have a king.

Brad
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